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![Party Like It's 1929](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/3afd43_37c8192abc65462d8390e073ab1e28d8~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_221,h_166,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/3afd43_37c8192abc65462d8390e073ab1e28d8~mv2.webp)
Nov 24, 20243 min read
Party Like It's 1929
The exact same data points that bulls are calling bullish, I call bearish. We've reached the point at which the bull case and the bear...
![ALL IN Trump Casino](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/3afd43_af7bc1f615fa47cd85871fe2b00e673a~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_221,h_166,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/3afd43_af7bc1f615fa47cd85871fe2b00e673a~mv2.webp)
Nov 17, 20243 min read
ALL IN Trump Casino
In my last blog post last Tuesday I posited that we may have seen the last rate cut for this cycle - That the combination of fiscal...
![Manias, Panics, And October Crashes](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/3afd43_39c8d7c28f1a460c921ae3a8dadfe750~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_221,h_166,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/3afd43_39c8d7c28f1a460c921ae3a8dadfe750~mv2.webp)
Oct 15, 20242 min read
Manias, Panics, And October Crashes
Let's recap events since last time: Over this past weekend, the Chinese Ministry of Finance held an emergency press briefing and...
![Global RISK OFF 2.0](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/3afd43_113cf9813f154165b8b048513a76ef4d~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_221,h_166,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/3afd43_113cf9813f154165b8b048513a76ef4d~mv2.webp)
Oct 1, 20243 min read
Global RISK OFF 2.0
China Lehman, Yen carry trade implosion, Armageddon in the Middle East, political civil war, weakening global economy. What to do? Buy...
![Retesting Explosion](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/3afd43_ac37972453814a75b96eb45d80b74277~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_221,h_166,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/3afd43_ac37972453814a75b96eb45d80b74277~mv2.webp)
Sep 4, 20243 min read
Retesting Explosion
Conditions are coalescing for a repeat of the August global market crash. This time I predict it won't be forgotten so quickly... But...
![Round 3: Everything Implosion](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/3afd43_821192242490463b8bd84aaf8e049937~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_221,h_166,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/3afd43_821192242490463b8bd84aaf8e049937~mv2.webp)
Aug 9, 20242 min read
Round 3: Everything Implosion
In this end of week post I will focus on the technicals of the market with a small amount of macro commentary. First off, it was a highly...
![THIS IS MEGA CRASH](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/3afd43_493d63861ab74cc79e05f8c6e8e9639e~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_221,h_166,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/3afd43_493d63861ab74cc79e05f8c6e8e9639e~mv2.webp)
Aug 7, 20243 min read
THIS IS MEGA CRASH
So far, this week is identical to last week, except at a much lower level. I have frequently warned that a break of this last support...
![HARD LANDING](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/3afd43_0c559297e86c4a96b27da91442089300~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_221,h_166,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/3afd43_0c559297e86c4a96b27da91442089300~mv2.webp)
Aug 5, 20243 min read
HARD LANDING
As of today, all of Wall Street's economic and market predictions are now off by a minus sign. The "soft landing" that Powell's Fed...
![This Market Wants To Crash](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/3afd43_20b6ba5082f444e092fcad011403cd9c~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_221,h_166,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/3afd43_20b6ba5082f444e092fcad011403cd9c~mv2.webp)
Feb 5, 20241 min read
This Market Wants To Crash
Today the S&P Momentum Index (ETF) reached 2020 pandemic overbought at 20% above the 200 day moving average: https://www.invesco.com/us/f...
![Late Stage Parabolic Tech Bubble](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/3afd43_6fe0b19d3448491ebf0b508f56eeb5ad~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_221,h_166,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/3afd43_6fe0b19d3448491ebf0b508f56eeb5ad~mv2.webp)
Jan 24, 20242 min read
Late Stage Parabolic Tech Bubble
What we are watching in real-time is another generation of young investors (and many old, who should know better) about to get wiped out...
![RED ALERT: Indian Melt-Up](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/3afd43_d15b548956464e6aa11c3730ae15c6c9~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_221,h_166,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/3afd43_d15b548956464e6aa11c3730ae15c6c9~mv2.webp)
Jan 15, 20241 min read
RED ALERT: Indian Melt-Up
Once again, what is perceived as bullish has more to do with what happened in the past than what happens next. For some reason we see...
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