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![The End of Cycle President](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/3afd43_8f9b7d1b955048f9bc27277f38f684aa~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_221,h_166,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/3afd43_8f9b7d1b955048f9bc27277f38f684aa~mv2.webp)
4 days ago2 min read
The End of Cycle President
Let me be the first and last financial pundit to explain that what Trump is doing right now is ending the 15 year super cycle that...
![All Good In Crazy Land](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/3afd43_88f04fc2827d4785b4cb4a63a95558db~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_221,h_166,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/3afd43_88f04fc2827d4785b4cb4a63a95558db~mv2.webp)
Feb 42 min read
All Good In Crazy Land
It's been a mere two weeks in Trump Crazy Land. But it feels like two years already... Friday morning, Barron's wrote that Trump had...
![The New Captain Titanic](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/3afd43_e2601641e88b4d53af3b554b480ea5f1~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_221,h_166,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/3afd43_e2601641e88b4d53af3b554b480ea5f1~mv2.webp)
Jan 243 min read
The New Captain Titanic
So far, Trump's second term is beginning the same way his first term began with respect to economic policy. In his first term, Trump...
![The Golden Age Of Fraud](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/3afd43_7f85e41948514891811230358adc43b7~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_221,h_166,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/3afd43_7f85e41948514891811230358adc43b7~mv2.webp)
Jan 213 min read
The Golden Age Of Fraud
"And so we're told, this is the golden age And gold is the reason for the wars we wage" The inauguration weekend kicked off with the...
![A Banquet of Consequences](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/3afd43_e3d02d2b6ef94c00b7c0d2991618ee91~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_221,h_166,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/3afd43_e3d02d2b6ef94c00b7c0d2991618ee91~mv2.webp)
Jan 102 min read
A Banquet of Consequences
"Sooner or later everyone sits down to a banquet of consequences" Denial has officially moved past the "This is not happening" phase to...
![2025: Year of Panic](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/3afd43_0831d4625409402f9564a543f93f68fb~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_221,h_166,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/3afd43_0831d4625409402f9564a543f93f68fb~mv2.webp)
Jan 14 min read
2025: Year of Panic
2024 was the Year of Ponzi, therefore I predict that 2025 will be the year of panic. First I will discuss Wall Street's predictions and...
![Here Comes Santa Crash](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/3afd43_db0cbf9ce8a949e38cebf80238442a52~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_221,h_166,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/3afd43_db0cbf9ce8a949e38cebf80238442a52~mv2.webp)
Dec 30, 20242 min read
Here Comes Santa Crash
So far, the most highly anticipated Santa Rally in world history is heading in the wrong direction. Chalk that up to lessons in Ponzi...
![Ponzi Unwind](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/3afd43_66a10c35676f4ee4bfe0bc9496c19f4c~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_221,h_166,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/3afd43_66a10c35676f4ee4bfe0bc9496c19f4c~mv2.webp)
Dec 20, 20242 min read
Ponzi Unwind
This week the Fed tanked markets with a hawkish pivot off of a universally expected and yet totally unwarranted rate cut. As I said on...
![](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/3afd43_20becd66f89f4c79882927054287b10e~mv2.jpg/v1/fill/w_250,h_250,fp_0.50_0.50,q_30,blur_30,enc_auto/3afd43_20becd66f89f4c79882927054287b10e~mv2.webp)
![Exceptional Delusion](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/3afd43_20becd66f89f4c79882927054287b10e~mv2.jpg/v1/fill/w_221,h_166,fp_0.50_0.50,q_90,enc_auto/3afd43_20becd66f89f4c79882927054287b10e~mv2.webp)
Dec 16, 20242 min read
Exceptional Delusion
The seminal week begins... On Thursday last week Trump was named Time's Person Of The Year and he rang the opening bell at the NYSE. Two...
![The Big Bang Theory](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/3afd43_b87bd860230e47bd96bf8c148ca41ad2~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_221,h_166,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/3afd43_b87bd860230e47bd96bf8c148ca41ad2~mv2.webp)
Dec 4, 20242 min read
The Big Bang Theory
Cycle overbought stock market Record leveraged speculation Record U.S. stock inflows Global Trade War / EM currency implosion Fed / BOJ...
![The Top Of The Ponzi Scheme](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/3afd43_0d3864c6c7e448fa978f8a735b4378fd~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_221,h_166,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/3afd43_0d3864c6c7e448fa978f8a735b4378fd~mv2.webp)
Nov 30, 20243 min read
The Top Of The Ponzi Scheme
Pundits are already making predictions for 2025, because no one told them it's still 2024. "You never count your money while you're...
![Black Friday](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/3afd43_420c1dc8b72a4242a0eb09dcd0b64c6f~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_221,h_166,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/3afd43_420c1dc8b72a4242a0eb09dcd0b64c6f~mv2.webp)
Nov 29, 20242 min read
Black Friday
For those who don't recall the etymology of "Black Friday", historically it was the day of the year when retailers finally turned a...
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