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Category Posts
Mar 4, 20243 min read
The Super Minsky Moment
When Nassim Taleb coined "The Black Swan Event" he did Wall Street a huge favour - He gave them plausible deniability to ignore all risk...
Feb 29, 20243 min read
Financial WMD
This is the monthly market report for February 2024. This is all an experiment in maximum financial idiocy. The results of which are TBD....
Feb 27, 20243 min read
The Casinofication of Markets
Over the weekend Warren Buffett remarked that markets were increasingly resembling a casino. He came up with several different plausible...
Feb 22, 20243 min read
Artificial Intelligence. Strong Buy.
This is the weekly market summary for the week ending February 23rd, 2024. Last week I wrote about the AI Supernova. That rally peaked on...
Feb 19, 20244 min read
Housing Pandemonium
This article is a follow-up to my first post on the housing market. In the last article I showed the long-term home price index for the...
Feb 16, 20243 min read
AI Supernova
This is the weekly market report for the week ending February 16th, 2024. It's been a crazy week. Hard to believe but the AI melt-up that...
Feb 9, 20244 min read
The End Of The Hype Cycle
This is the weekly market report for week ending February 9th, 2024. My overall hypothesis is that extreme asset inflation is obscuring...
Feb 6, 20243 min read
The Trump Rally
For almost the past 24 hours, Zerohedge has had as their lead story the idea that Trump's election is a lock and Wall Street is now going...
Feb 5, 20241 min read
This Market Wants To Crash
Today the S&P Momentum Index (ETF) reached 2020 pandemic overbought at 20% above the 200 day moving average: https://www.invesco.com/us/f...
Feb 5, 20242 min read
Artificial Intelligence: The Last Bubble
This morning, Goldman Sachs upgraded Nvidia to what I call "Strong Ponzi Scheme". Looking back, I think we will realize this was the apex...
Feb 5, 20242 min read
China Crash
This is a special report on China... Last night, Chinese markets imploded at the open but then the PBOC Politburo stepped in to save the...
Feb 3, 20244 min read
Bank Run 2024
One year ago, Powell shocked markets by stating that the Fed was not planning to pause rate hikes any time soon. Heading into the Jan/Feb...
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