Category Posts

Jul 193 min read

Crash Risk. HIGH.

For the past three days the market rallied in the morning and imploded in the afternoon, which is classic bear market action. This...

Jul 133 min read

The New Permanent Plateau Of Moral Hazard

What follows are my philosophical musings on this new permanent plateau of moral hazard. I begin at the macro-level by repeating that...

Jul 113 min read

The Pivotal Moment

The moment that investors have been waiting for all year has arrived... An imploding jobs market. Sometimes I wonder, am I bullish or...

Jul 72 min read

2024: Year Of FOMO

Following is an update to my last blog post a week ago. A funny thing happened after Trump trounced Biden at their first debate...aside...

Jun 303 min read

The Summer of Meltdown

This post will begin with a rant and end with the summer of meltdown, so if you are easily triggered you should jump back to the...

Jun 213 min read

Reversal Of Fortune

Any questions? "The reversal in Nvidia shares comes ahead of Friday’s “triple witching” options expiration for June, expected to be the...

Jun 173 min read

Icarus Rally

The Artificial Intelligence melt-up has now become the global equivalent of a Gamestop pump and dump. Here we are witnessing summer...

Jun 122 min read

Asset Inflation Is Out of Control

Today the FOMC came out swinging, reducing their "dot plot" interest rate projections from three rate cuts down to one rate cut for all...

Jun 72 min read

Global System Test

Maximum risk is coalescing amid maximum complacency at all time highs because faith in central banks is now total. This global melt-up...

Jun 33 min read

The Era Of Artificial Intelligence

It's official, this past weekend Barron's took rate cuts totally off the table for 2024: "The Federal Reserve isn’t likely to lower...

May 283 min read

Sell In May And Go Away

The trillion dollar question - are we witnessing the final end to the Artificial Intelligence super bubble? The balance sheet recession...

May 232 min read

Goldilocks and No Bears

The Artificial Intelligence Super Cycle is ending, and fittingly almost no one sees it coming. Last week I discussed the Gamestop Retail...