top of page
Category Posts

Dec 30, 20242 min read
Here Comes Santa Crash
So far, the most highly anticipated Santa Rally in world history is heading in the wrong direction. Chalk that up to lessons in Ponzi...

Dec 26, 20242 min read
2024 Year Of Ponzi
The year is basically over and Wall Street "won". The usual bagholders have gone all in and now the annual Wall Street bonus is off the...

Dec 20, 20242 min read
Ponzi Unwind
This week the Fed tanked markets with a hawkish pivot off of a universally expected and yet totally unwarranted rate cut. As I said on...


Dec 16, 20242 min read
Exceptional Delusion
The seminal week begins... On Thursday last week Trump was named Time's Person Of The Year and he rang the opening bell at the NYSE. Two...

Dec 6, 20243 min read
Never Go FULL CASINO
There are rarely times in markets when one can say with absolute conviction that this is going to end extraordinarily badly, with 100%...

Dec 5, 20242 min read
The Big Bang Theory
Cycle overbought stock market Record leveraged speculation Record U.S. stock inflows Global Trade War / EM currency implosion Fed / BOJ...

Nov 29, 20242 min read
Black Friday
For those who don't recall the etymology of "Black Friday", historically it was the day of the year when retailers finally turned a...

Nov 24, 20243 min read
Party Like It's 1929
The exact same data points that bulls are calling bullish, I call bearish. We've reached the point at which the bull case and the bear...

Nov 21, 20243 min read
The Apex of Artificial Intelligence.
Where to begin. A duct taped banana just sold for $6.2 million at auction: "At one point another artist took the banana off the wall and...

Nov 17, 20243 min read
ALL IN Trump Casino
In my last blog post last Tuesday I posited that we may have seen the last rate cut for this cycle - That the combination of fiscal...

Nov 12, 20242 min read
The Biggest Speculative Bubble In History
Over the past twenty years markets have been systematically hijacked by sociopaths in Silicon Valley and on Wall Street. Now, investors...

Nov 7, 20242 min read
The Crack High Boom and Bust
Investors are gorging on a lethal overdose of monetary and fiscal stimulus heroin. Trump and Powell are on a collision course, unless...
bottom of page