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![The End of Cycle President](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/3afd43_8f9b7d1b955048f9bc27277f38f684aa~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_221,h_166,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/3afd43_8f9b7d1b955048f9bc27277f38f684aa~mv2.webp)
4 days ago2 min read
The End of Cycle President
Let me be the first and last financial pundit to explain that what Trump is doing right now is ending the 15 year super cycle that...
![All Good In Crazy Land](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/3afd43_88f04fc2827d4785b4cb4a63a95558db~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_221,h_166,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/3afd43_88f04fc2827d4785b4cb4a63a95558db~mv2.webp)
Feb 42 min read
All Good In Crazy Land
It's been a mere two weeks in Trump Crazy Land. But it feels like two years already... Friday morning, Barron's wrote that Trump had...
![The New Captain Titanic](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/3afd43_e2601641e88b4d53af3b554b480ea5f1~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_221,h_166,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/3afd43_e2601641e88b4d53af3b554b480ea5f1~mv2.webp)
Jan 243 min read
The New Captain Titanic
So far, Trump's second term is beginning the same way his first term began with respect to economic policy. In his first term, Trump...
![The Golden Age Of Fraud](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/3afd43_7f85e41948514891811230358adc43b7~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_221,h_166,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/3afd43_7f85e41948514891811230358adc43b7~mv2.webp)
Jan 213 min read
The Golden Age Of Fraud
"And so we're told, this is the golden age And gold is the reason for the wars we wage" The inauguration weekend kicked off with the...
![Double Or Nothing In Trump Casino](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/3afd43_6132a82e609649b2b08ed684705017f7~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_221,h_166,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/3afd43_6132a82e609649b2b08ed684705017f7~mv2.webp)
Jan 152 min read
Double Or Nothing In Trump Casino
Two trading days until Trump is inaugurated on the MLK holiday. I've read no pundits warning that next week is the locus of disaster....
![A Banquet of Consequences](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/3afd43_e3d02d2b6ef94c00b7c0d2991618ee91~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_221,h_166,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/3afd43_e3d02d2b6ef94c00b7c0d2991618ee91~mv2.webp)
Jan 102 min read
A Banquet of Consequences
"Sooner or later everyone sits down to a banquet of consequences" Denial has officially moved past the "This is not happening" phase to...
![A New Bear Market](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/3afd43_c246d4c325c04284bca2edcde2270ee8~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_221,h_166,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/3afd43_c246d4c325c04284bca2edcde2270ee8~mv2.webp)
Jan 62 min read
A New Bear Market
The technical definition of a bear market is -20%, however it appears that confirmation of bear market will arrive around the same time...
![Here Comes Santa Crash](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/3afd43_db0cbf9ce8a949e38cebf80238442a52~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_221,h_166,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/3afd43_db0cbf9ce8a949e38cebf80238442a52~mv2.webp)
Dec 30, 20242 min read
Here Comes Santa Crash
So far, the most highly anticipated Santa Rally in world history is heading in the wrong direction. Chalk that up to lessons in Ponzi...
![2024 Year Of Ponzi](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/3afd43_ea2302a6f58d439f9d5ec478f71a7ed8~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_221,h_166,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/3afd43_ea2302a6f58d439f9d5ec478f71a7ed8~mv2.webp)
Dec 26, 20242 min read
2024 Year Of Ponzi
The year is basically over and Wall Street "won". The usual bagholders have gone all in and now the annual Wall Street bonus is off the...
![Ponzi Unwind](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/3afd43_66a10c35676f4ee4bfe0bc9496c19f4c~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_221,h_166,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/3afd43_66a10c35676f4ee4bfe0bc9496c19f4c~mv2.webp)
Dec 20, 20242 min read
Ponzi Unwind
This week the Fed tanked markets with a hawkish pivot off of a universally expected and yet totally unwarranted rate cut. As I said on...
![](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/3afd43_20becd66f89f4c79882927054287b10e~mv2.jpg/v1/fill/w_250,h_250,fp_0.50_0.50,q_30,blur_30,enc_auto/3afd43_20becd66f89f4c79882927054287b10e~mv2.webp)
![Exceptional Delusion](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/3afd43_20becd66f89f4c79882927054287b10e~mv2.jpg/v1/fill/w_221,h_166,fp_0.50_0.50,q_90,enc_auto/3afd43_20becd66f89f4c79882927054287b10e~mv2.webp)
Dec 16, 20242 min read
Exceptional Delusion
The seminal week begins... On Thursday last week Trump was named Time's Person Of The Year and he rang the opening bell at the NYSE. Two...
![Never Go FULL CASINO](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/3afd43_1d3653676ba4436ab8bf0ebb88a04375~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_221,h_166,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/3afd43_1d3653676ba4436ab8bf0ebb88a04375~mv2.webp)
Dec 6, 20243 min read
Never Go FULL CASINO
There are rarely times in markets when one can say with absolute conviction that this is going to end extraordinarily badly, with 100%...
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