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Category Posts

The Nuclear Option
The big "Liberation Day" is only one day away now and the most recent indications are that Trump is about to reach for the nuclear trade...
Apr 14 min read

FOMC Preview
Below I will discuss the various factors that will weigh on the Fed decision this week. First, we begin with the bull case: "Ned Davis...
Jan 28, 20242 min read

Central Bank Extravaganza
The goal of central banks over these next two weeks will be to close the "gap" between fantasy and reality: Weekend Barron's Magazine:...
Jan 22, 20242 min read

Consumer Sentiment Boom And Bust 3.0
"A so-called soft landing — where inflation returns the Fed's 2% target without a sharp economic downturn — has become close to a...
Jan 19, 20241 min read

Article Review: Cash On The Sidelines
The most common bullish argument lately is based on the fact that nominal money market balances have gone parabolic in the past couple of...
Jan 18, 20242 min read

WSJ Article Review: QT Wind Down
January 15th, 2024 "By slowing the pace at which its balance sheet shrinks, the central bank aims to prevent a messy disruption to the...
Jan 15, 20241 min read
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